An end to deflation would strengthen the world's second-largest economy and enable Japan to shoulder part of the burden of the U.S., which has been the sole locomotive for global growth since the 1990s.
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Capital spending may show a flat reading or even a fall in January-March gross domestic product data, but this should only be a temporary moderation in the data.Naokizuka
The inventory adjustment in the technology sector is coming to an end and will finish as exports to China start picking up. The leading index should be able to maintain a level over 50 percent in the coming months.
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If the BOJ fails again like it did in 2000, this could be a fatal blow to the credibility of Japanese monetary policy.
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The economy is on a recovery trend, which was partly behind a historical election victory for Koizumi. This victory will make it easier for him to push forward needed reforms.
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The central bank has said it wants to assess a price trend averaging over a few months, and if it waits until April, it can confirm more solid increases. That will back up the bank's case that they expect consumer prices to show stable gains.
Naokizuka
The government's message is that the central bank should take all the responsibility for what would happen to the economy if it makes an independent policy judgment.
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