The Dec. 8 deadline -- it's a geopolitical concern.
More Quotes from Tony Dwyer:
There's a confidence in earnings that is offsetting the other trends. If 62 oil, a downgrade of GM and bombings in London can't derail the markets, what canTony Dwyer
Nobody can figure out what's going to happen with the market -- they're all guessing, ... Let's say CNN or Fox or MSNBC brings up a picture of a GI in a bad situation. The market takes a dip. Is that a fundamental or a technical move No, it's a war-driven, live-video stream move, which means it's totally unpredictable.
Tony Dwyer
We've gone from a psychology a month and a half ago that the economy is growing too quickly, and the Fed is going to have to raise rates, to we're going to go towards a recession because the economy's slowing too quickly. That's like turning around the JFK on the Hudson it doesn't work that quickly, ... So you get fear coming into the market -- it just changes its nature. The fear was inflation. Now the fear is earnings. And it's going to end up somewhere in the middle. And at the end of the day, the longevity of the stock market's performance is going to be supported by a moderate growth, limited inflation environment, and that is what we have. It's not going to be robust growth -- 5.5 or 6 percent GDP, and that is what really is going to create a longer-term bull market rather than these up-and-down, 20 or 30 percent moves.
Tony Dwyer
There's a bias, because of the bubble-popping, to be negative no matter what after we've had a good rally, because you don't want to be accused of being too optimistic.
Tony Dwyer
We could pull back a bit, but it will be limited to about a 5 percent decline and it will be quick. This market rally has not been about buying interest, but about the total lack of selling interest.
Tony Dwyer
Technology should fare real well, given all the business being done on the Internet right now. Those subject to the Internet, like a Sun Microsystems, those type of companies should have excellent earnings,
Tony Dwyer
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