There is this simplistic notion around that because the yield curve is inverted, therefore, economic growth is going to slow down, but ... no consideration is given as to why the economy would slow down.
More Quotes from Charles Lieberman:
The Fed is not going to be troubled by a small miss (in the CPI). I don't think it's that big an issue, ... They're concerned that a falling stock market could hurt consumers sufficiently to curtail spending. That could be a problem.Charles Lieberman
Inflation, on the surface, does not appear to be a concern, but it's obvious that prices for some items are rising, ... It's inevitable that when people are armed with fatter paychecks and when companies are spending more to produce goods and services, prices are going to rise.
Charles Lieberman
That's the time when a big number is most likely, mainly when we're coming out of a recession. At this stage of the business cycle, to be getting a 5 percent growth rate in productivity for a year is really very impressive.
Charles Lieberman
People will be coming back from vacation and need to catch up with whatever's going on and they're going to be doing that right in front of the economic report on Friday, so none of that suggests that there should be any urgency to doing anything.
Charles Lieberman
I suspect that interest rates must increase considerably more than is currently expected or has been built into forward markets.
Charles Lieberman
No doubt housing activity was elevated over the winter because of very, very mild weather. One housing start in Syracuse, N.Y., in December is an awful lot. So we shouldn't be surprised by a big fall-off.
Charles Lieberman
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