At this level, global funds may start to move their bond holdings back to neutral, and the earnings yield ratios of the SP 500 and MSCI World will move closer to the normal level, bonds no longer expensive or equities no longer cheap on a relative basis.
More Quotes from Eddie Wong:
Investors are starting to lock in profits on the highly speculative H-shares and switch into Hong Kong blue-chip stocks. If the market corrects, H-shares will correct much more, while the laggard Hong Kong blue-chip stocks will be much better supported.Eddie Wong
The market will start to speculate whether the latest China rate rise is the first of a series.
Eddie Wong
Over the past two years we have seen at least three substantial corrections, this may be another one of them. In the short term ... the interest rate worry may encourage quite substantial profit taking.
Eddie Wong
The Chinese market in terms of valuation isn't cheap. It would be best to shift out of H shares into Hong Kong blue-chip stocks.
Eddie Wong
If the rate expectations continue to come down, Hong Kong, as an interest rate sensitive market will likely benefit. Moreover, if the interest rate expectations drop, the U.S, growth expectations will also taper off. This will also encourage money to flow from the growth sensitive markets, notably Korea and Taiwan. Hong Kong will be an idea destination.
Eddie Wong
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