There are some good signs of growth in Germany. Retail sales data suggest consumer spending is picking up and order books are overflowing. Firms should continue to perform relatively well.
More Quotes from Sandra Petcov:
We don't think business confidence is going to improve much more over coming months, but we don't expect it to fall off a cliff either. There's still support from the rest of the world and a slightly lower euro.Sandra Petcov
There's no doubt German firms are doing exceptionally well order books are full to the brim and business confidence is at levels not seen since reunification. But they haven't started hiring yet. They know that in 2007 a very large fiscal tightening is envisaged, so this could be a short-lived rise in demand.
Sandra Petcov
The Fed and the ECB view monetary data completely differently. The emphasis the ECB places on this analysis is a little excessive. If we were in charge of interest- rate policy, we would keep them on hold.
Sandra Petcov
We think the best of the growth is probably past now. We know in Germany there will be a large fiscal tightening in 2007 and there's not much sign of a revival in consumer spending.
Sandra Petcov
We had a particularly cold winter and the construction industry suffered, so this is simply a delayed pickup. Unemployment is falling, but it's no reason to rejoice. We need to see a sustained increase in employment, and that hasn't happened yet.
Sandra Petcov
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