Exports were flat for a second month running and that has been what is most broken in the trade picture.
Exports were flat for a second month running and that has been what is most broken in the trade picture.
Business conditions are really slack. The latest rally in stocks doesn't change that.
Consumption is growing, government outlays are growing and the third quarter will look very strong. But going forward, business spending is flat and decisions are being deferred. That can keep us weak for the near term -- neither contracting nor expanding.
We're not expecting an entirely clean read for the durable goods report. The business confidence data began to bottom at the end of June and that's encouraging. We probably will see modest gains in consumer activity and eventually the business cycle will catch up to that. But so far, everything right now is pointing to frustrating moderate economic growth for the time being,
This gain in proprietors' income is small-business job creation, we think, and it's more useful at this point in the business cycle than it would otherwise be,
© 2020 Inspirational Stories
© 2020 Inspirational Stories